Wet Period Ahead

The latest forecast reveal a substantial shift in the upper-level pattern with troughing (low pressure) over the Northwest and northeast Pacific.  And yes....it is going to get wet.  Let's start with the 500 hPa (about 18,000 ft) forecast for Saturday at 5 PM.   Big trough over our region, but the main action is offshore.

Or we can look at the average of many forecasts (the ensemble mean) for the same level, in this case for Sunday at 5 PM.   This figure also shows the anomaly--difference from normal--with color shades.   Big trough over the NW coast, which means cooler and wetter.

Over a 24h period ending Saturday at 5 PM, good rain along the coast and western Oregon, but only light rain reaching Puget Sound

Ditto on Sunday.

For the next 24h (Monday), still wet over the coast and offshore, but not much over the interior.

On Tuesday, significant rain engulfs western Oregon and Washington.

And then much wetter conditions on Thursday.

Bottom line: if you keep away the coast, this weekend will be tolerable and eastern Washington should be pleasant.  But wetter conditions are expected later in the week over both sides of the Cascades.

A Weather Data Revolution in the Cockpit

A weather data revolution is about to take place in the cockpit of commercial aircraft, a revolution that will make air travel safer and more comfortable.

As I noted in a blog last month, most pilots do not have access to the full range of critical, real-time weather information when  they are airborne.  The amazing truth is that a passenger sitting in coach with a laptop, using aircraft wifi, has much better real-time weather information than most pilots.  

With a lack of weather information some pilots have made serious and dangerous mistakes, taking their aircraft into thunderstorms and other weather threats.

A passenger with neck brace being taken off of JetBlue429

One example is the JetBlue Flight 429 incident in which an Airbus 320 flew directly into severe convection, sending nearly two dozen passengers and crew to the hospital.

And there are many more examples.  Take Delta Flight 1889, which went into a strong thunderstorm with big hail last August, smashing the windshield and destroying the nose cone.  As described here, this incident was easily avoidable.

Even today there was several aircraft flying into thunderstorms, needlessly endangering and discomforting passengers.    Don't believe me?  Here is an example from this afternoon.  The colors give radar intensity, with red being intense echoes (heavy rain, hail).  Look closely about two thirds up, just left of center and you will see a jet flying into red.  Bad move.

And nearly the same time, a crazy prop plane went into even stronger convection.

Or this one about the same time in which a jet pilot took his/her passengers on a needlessly exciting ride.

Aircraft Radars Are Not Sufficient

Airline captains don't get to view good radar imagery like shown above, but rather use their aircraft radar, which have relatively low resolution, limited range, and present all levels at once.  Here is an example:

Aircraft weather radars may be ok for tactical, short-term decision making (e.g., maneuvering around an isolated cell), but are completely inadequate for strategic decision making (deciding on route changes 10 minutes or more ahead of time).  Aircraft radars can't see behind strong echoes so pilots can get into trouble farther on.

A failure mode evident in the JetBlue and Delta cases was the filling of a gap in a convective line, problems that would have been evident if the pilots had radar and weather satellite animations.

The Technology Exists to Fix This Problem

Today our nation has a marvelous network of powerful high-resolution radars maintained by the National Weather Service.  New generations of weather satellites not only show the structure of clouds below, but probe the 3D structure of the atmosphere.  Real-time lightning detection networks define cloud to cloud and cloud to ground flashes.  And new rapid-refresh, real-time analysis and forecast systems are constantly updating the forecasts.  Plus, many planes are taking weather observations and radioing them in constantly.

But how get this rich data to pilots?   The solution is pretty much in place: most commercial jet aircraft now have wifi, including many flights over the oceans.  I should know:  I use wifi on every flight I take to follow the weather en route.   So a pilot with a laptop or a pad should be able to get virtually any type of weather information, but few have done so until very recently.

Why?

Part of the problem is with the airlines, who have been too slow in understanding the benefits of this technology.

Some of the problem has been with the FAA,  which even today PROHIBITS the use of weather software that shows the position of the aircraft.  Amazing.

Part of the problem is from concerns about wifi interfering with cockpit electronics, but that can be solved.

Weather Software in the Cockpit

A number of vendors are now developing or providing weather display systems for commercial pilots.  For example, JetBlue is now making such software available to their air crews.  I understand Alaska Airlines is working on the same thing.  Delta, working with the National Center for Atmospheric Research, has developed a Fight Weather Viewer App, with particular attention to defining areas of turbulence:

Honeywell has weather software that loads on to iPads and are designed for relatively low-bandwidth aircraft environments:

And WSI/Weather.com/IBM has a solution for general aviation that uses XM satellite technology:

But technology is not the end of the problem.   Pilots will need the meteorological education to better understand weather threats and how they can be identified in radar or satellite imagery.

Bottom Line

 There is now an explosion of aviation weather apps that can be installed on laptops or pads.  If airlines and the FAA work together to encourage the use of real-time weather data in the cockpit, all of us can look forward to smoother and safer flights.
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A Normal Summer

With summer just ending, it is time to look back on the summer of 2016 over the western U.S.  And by most measures it was a relatively normal one, particularly here in the Pacific Northwest.  I will show you anomaly (difference from normal) maps for the 90-day period from June 25 through September 22, 2016.

First, maximum temperature.  For most of Washington, maximum temperatures were modestly below normal, with the main exception being the Puget Sound region.  Inland CA was a bit warmer than normal

 Minimum temperatures were generally within two degrees of normal.  Nothing remarkable.

Precipitation? A few inches below normal in the west, except for portions of western Washington State.  But the west generally doesn't get much over summer anywhere because of the eastern Pacific high.

Now I could have given you a much, much scarier picture.  Here is the percent of average precipitation for the same period.  OMG!   Much of California received less than 25% of normal!  But they normally get very little in summer, so such low numbers are really meaningless.  You've got to be careful with statistics.

With a normal snowpack from last winter and normal temperature/precipitation over the summer, this has been one of the most benign wildfire seasons in years.   Consider this.

By Aug. 30, 2014, Department of Natural Resources firefighters had responded to 687 fires covering 191,000 acres. Last year by Aug. 30, they had responded to 996 fires covering 328,000 acres. This year on Aug. 30, they had responded to 637 fires, but only covering 15,000 acres.    We simply did not have the large fires this year.  And air quality east of the Cascade crest was radically better as a result.

The latest 6-10 day forecast from NOAA (and we really don't have much skill beyond that) shows cooler than normal and wetter than normal conditions.

_______________________________

For those interested in the inside (and depressing) story of why some "climate justice" groups are opposing a carbon tax in Washington State, this blog is must reading.   Some supposed environment groups have political agendas that result in them opposing effective, bipartisan environmental measures.  
__________

My talk on Northwest Climate Surprises on September 28.

During the evening of September 28, I will be giving a talk in Seattle at the Mountaineers in NE Seattle on Climate Surprises: Unexpected Impacts of Global Warming on the Pacific Northwest.
The latest climate model simulations provide a far more nuanced prediction of what will happen here, with some of the predictions being quite surprising. I will discuss them in a talk sponsored by CarbonWa and the Audubon Society. To find out more or to secure tickets, please go here.

Today is the Fall Equinox, But is the Day and Night REALLY Equal?

Today, September 22nd is the fall or autumnal equinox.  Many references talk about day and night being equal in length during the equinox, as suggested by the name (equi--or equal, nox--night).

But if you check the sunrise/sunrise tables you will find out that this is not true. That they are not equal, with the day being longer.   So what is going on?

On the equinox, the sun is directly over the equator and earth has no tilt with respect to the sun (both hemispheres are the same distance from the sun).  As a result, the terminator, the line separating night from day is directed north-south, which is illustrated by a visible satellite image taken a few hours ago (see below).

But it turns out that day and night are not equal during the fall equinox, something evident in the sunrise/sunset table for Seattle below.  Today, the day was about 8 minutes longer than the night!.  Day and night won't be equal for several days (Sept 25).  But how can this true if the sun is directly over the equator?

The reasons are two fold.   First, sunset does not occur when the center of the sun crosses the horizon, but when the upper portion slips below the horizon.  Sunrise occurs when the upper  portion of the sun shows itself.    As a result of the finite size of the sun, day is lengthened.

The other reason is the atmosphere refracts or bends the sun's rays upwards, resulting in the sun being visible even when it is physically below the horizon!

So enjoy the extra sunshine...you will appreciate it in a few months.
___________________________________

My talk on Northwest Climate Surprises on September 28. 

During the evening of September 28, I will be giving a talk in Seattle at the Mountaineers in NE Seattle on Climate Surprises: Unexpected Impacts of Global Warming on the Pacific Northwest. 

You think global warming will simply bring warmer temperatures, drought, less snow, and more storms? 

Think again. The latest climate model simulations provide a far more nuanced prediction of what will happen here, with some of the predictions being quite surprising. This talk is sponsored by CarbonWa and the Audubon Society. To find out more or to secure tickets, please go here.

Ethnic Model Casting Calls Ethnic Queen Magazine Model Search 2017

Ethnic Queen Magazine Ethnic Model Casting Calls 2017 Model Search

Ethnic Queen Magazine Official International Model Casting Calls 2017 For Female Ethnic Models, Female Indian Models, Female Asian Models,

Female Latina Models, Female African Models, Female Native American Models, Female Mixed Race Models, Female African American Models, Female Desi Models, Female Middle Eastern Models, and Female East Indian Models ages 18-35 that are proud of their ethnic beauty and culture.

Ethnic Queen Magazine is published by the International Beauty Movement who also publishes the internationally known and very popular Ripping Runways Magazine, Girl 9 Bikini Magazine, Project Couture Magazine, and Salon Savvy Magazine.

Ethnic Queen Magazine is the newest magazine to the International Beauty Movement publishing Family.

Ethnic Queen Magazine is an online magazine that celebrates the amazing beauty of ethnic women, the vibrant culture, and the unique diversity that beautiful aspiring ethnic models worldwide bring to the fashion, beauty, and entertainment industry, and Ethnic Queen Magazine wants to give serious ethnic models a loud voice that will be heard in the fashion and beauty industry.

If you are a beautiful aspiring ethnic model age 18-35 that is interested in an incredible print modeling opportunity that could take your modeling career to the next level and open up modeling opportunities in the professional print modeling industry, commercial modeling industry and entertainment industry, as well as help you build an impressive modeling portfolio that could increase your modeling job opportunities, and gain worldwide exposure as a print model or commercial model, then you will want to respond to this International Magazine Casting Call For “Ethnic Queen Magazine” if you are a beautiful aspiring Female Indian Model, Female Asian Model, Female Latina Model, Female African Model, Female Native American Model, Female Mixed Race Model, Female African American Model, Female Desi Model, Female Middle Eastern Model, or a Female East Indian Model.

We are giving you the amazing opportunity to be a possible feature model in the Christmas issue of Ethnic Queen Magazine, which could be the high profile modeling opportunity that takes your aspiring modeling career to the next level and opens doors to so many great paying jobs and opportunities in the fashion and entertainment industry.

Are you ready to take your aspiring modeling career to the next level as an ethnic model?

To apply for consideration as a feature ethnic model in the next issue of Ethnic Queen Magazine, YOU MUST BE AGES 18-35 ONLY, you will need to submit a professionally written bio with your age, your  city, state, or country,  your height, weight, measurements, your email address, and phone number  and 12 -20 recent professional full body high resolution photos in formal dress clothing or your native ethnic clothing which is a big plus, casual clothing, and lingerie or bikini, please submit no less than 12-20 of your most recent and most impressive full body professional high resolution photos (that are no older than 12 months) with no writing on them, no logos, or photographer watermarks or signatures.

Submit 12 -20 recent full body professional photos of you posing and bio with complete contact information and measurements to: internationalbeautymovement@aol.com

All photos submitted by ethnic models will be evaluated on ethnic clothing style, creative posing, makeup and hair styling, photo shoot location, and unique ethnic look and beauty.

Please read model photo submission guidelines carefully below:

We do not accept photos that are older than 12 months, we do not accept less than 12 recent high resolution professional photos, we do not accept camera phone photos, we do not accept photos with more than one model in it, we do not accept photos posted on other websites, we do not accept low resolution photos, we do not accept comp cards, we do not accept photos with writing on them, logos, or photographer signatures, and we do not accept personal photos or photos that are taken in your home, we do not accept photos that are collages or have effects, or have borders added to them, so please do not submit none of the above or your photos will not be considered.

Konscious Money Entertainment Group, creator of  the International Beauty  Movement has created a strong presence in both the entertainment and fashion industry with it’s internationally known Ripping Runways Magazine publication, Girl 9 Magazine For Men, Project Couture Fashion Magazine, and Salon Savvy Hair and Makeup Magazine and as a result, Konscious Money Entertainment Group, creator of the International Beauty Movement and all of the magazines mentioned above are responsible for featuring some of the most beautiful and most talented female models and beauty pageant winners worldwide since 2012.

International Beauty Movement Web Site:

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2016 PHILLY MODEL FACE OFF VIDEO HIGHLIGHTS CLICK LINK BELOW:

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Please visit our casting call link to view all of our current casting calls for aspiring female models worldwide at: http://rippingrunways.blogspot.com/

Will the Naive Left and the Self-Interested Kill the Most Significant Environmental Advance in Years?

The Sierra Club should be embarrassed.
The Washington Environmental Council should be embarrassed.
Seattle's Climate Solutions should be embarrassed
Global warming warrior Bill McKibben should be embarrassed
The Alliance For Jobs and Clean Energy should be embarrassed
Fuse Washington  and Puget Sound Sage should be embarrassed
The Association of Washington Businesses should be embarrassed
Nucor Steel, Kaiser Aluminum, Northwest Pulp and Paper, and the Avista Corporation should be embarrassed.
The Washington State Labor Council should be embarrassed.

These groups are putting their political agendas and perceived financial interests ahead of the general good.

For self-interested reasons they are ready to kill one of the most important environmental advances in years.

For self-interested reasons they want to destroy the chance to greatly improve the most regressive state tax system in nation.

Specifically, they are working against I-732, the Washington State carbon tax swap that will be on the ballot this November.   And they have nothing to offer to replace it.

I-732 is one of those wise, revolutionary ideas that come along all too rarely.  It starts with the most effective approach to reducing the use of carbon and one that uses the power of the free market:  a carbon tax.

But it doesn't use the money to grow the size of government.  Rather it gives the money back to the people and industry through reducing the sales tax by 1%, removing the B&O tax on manufacturers, and providing a tax credit to working low income people.  A carbon tax swap.   And it makes Washington State tax system less regressive.  Let me shown you.

This graph shows you the percentage of income spent on taxes for a married family with two children for various income groups.   Without I-732 (blue), Washington State has a highly regressive tax system with low-income folks (below $21K) spending nearly 17% of their income on taxes.  For those earning $21,000-$ 40,000 about 12%.   But if I-732 becomes law, we move to the yellow bars--much better and far less regressive.  I-732 would be the biggest boon to low income Washington State families in decades.

The most important and far reaching environmental advances in the U.S. have always been bipartisan.  Laws like the the Clean Air Act, the Clean Water Act, the establishment of the Environmental Protection Agency, to name only a few.  In a country where no party is dominant for long, only bipartisan efforts have the staying power required to deal with environmental pollution and the protection of our State and planet.   I-732 has extraordinary bipartisan support with groups ranging from the Audubon Society and Democrats from many of our States' districts to Republican State legislators (such as Senators Steve Litzow, Joe Fein, among others), major business leaders such as Howard Behar of Starbucks, and hundreds of other organizations and groups (a partial list is here).

It quite probable that the vote is going to be close and the opponents noted above could make a critical difference.  So why are they opposing I-732?

First, there are those I call the naive-left.  These are folks that support the carbon tax, but don't like revenue neutrality--they want government to get the money and use it for climate justice and governmental energy programs.  They claim that I-732 is financially regressive and will still steal money from the state general fund.   They also claim that poor folks will be hit harder than rich folks form global warming and thus deserve special support.

Perhaps these folks mean well, but they are clearly mistaken on every count:

1.   A revenue positive carbon tax would lose support by moderates and many Republicans.   It would kill any chance of passage.
2.  I-732 will REDUCE the regressivity of the WA State tax structure.  In a revenue-positive plan, money will be taken away from poor folks (via a carbon tax) and not returned to them.  Thus, their plan would make the tax situation more regressive.
3.   I-732 is very, very close to being revenue neutral and estimates that found otherwise are in error.  The respected Sightline Institute set the record straight on this, as does the I-732 website.
4.  Government has proven itself inferior to the market in making energy decisions.  The 500 million Solyndra disaster is a good example of this.

5.  As shown in one of my previous blogs, the idea that poor people in our state will be hit harder by global warming is an easily disproven urban myth.

The Sierra Club, supposedly an organization that has environmental concerns front and center is not supporting I-732 because:

Communities of color and low-income people are almost always the ones most impacted by pollution and climate change, and as a result they need to be at the front and center of discussions for how to address the problem and mitigate the impacts of both climate change and environmental policy. That wasn't the approach taken by I-732

In truth, the Sierra Club's position is not only based on incorrect assumptions, but its actions directly harm the folks it claims to be most concerned about. I-732 will dramatically reduce taxes on low-income people and contribute to reducing carbon pollution. Several Sierra Club members have emailed me expressing their disgust with their organization's position...they plan to support I-732.  Perhaps they should support a different organization.

Bill McKibben and his 350.0rg group were strong supporters of I-732.  But then they changed their mind?  Why?  Here is what they said.

Our reason, above all, is that we want to support our allies in people-of-color-led climate justice groups that represent those on the frontlines of climate change. 

And "environmental organizations" like Climate Solutions might change their name to Climate Inaction.  "Climate Justice" has taken over some of the region's environmental action groups and they are willing to destroy any potential for progress for ideology, an ideology that has the most tenuous relationship with truth.  Perhaps the most destructive aspect of these groups is that they make dealing with climate change  a "we" versus "they" affair, with "we" being more seriously affected and deserving of public funds.  In truth, EVERYONE will be affected by climate change and EVERYONE must work on solutions.   They don't seem to understand this.

And then there are the self-interested.  Groups like the Association of Washington Businesses and major energy users (like Nucor Steel) are opposing I-732 because it will raise the price of carbon.   I-732 does displace some of the cost (by eliminating the B& O tax on manufactures and reducing sales tax).  The idea is that an increased cost of carbon will encourage these companies to reduce their carbon footprint by increasing efficiency, taking advantage of renewable energy, or other means.

But these companies don't want the hassle or to change the way they do business.  They want cheap energy.  And they clearly are not very concerned about the impacts of carbon pollution.  Some are even denying the global warming is a concern.

So in short, there is alliance between left-leaning, climate justice folks who want big government and funds directed to specific groups, and right-leaning energy-intensive industrialists who don't want to deal with global warming.  An unholy alliance if there every was one.  They even have a joint website.

The big question is whether the rational middle will be large enough to pass I-732.  Folks who want our state to deal with increasing greenhouse gases.  Folks that understand global warming is a threat that must be dealt with.  Folks who understand the importance of making our tax structure less regressive.  Folks who look beyond their own self interest and pocket book. And folks that understand that a bipartisan carbon tax swap could be an example that could stir the rest of the nation.

Want to help?  Check out the Yes on the I-732 website.  Help makes calls or doorbell. Contribute.  Or come to my talk on Sept 28th, a fundraiser for I-732 (see below).

________________________

My talk on Northwest Climate Surprises on September 28. 

During the evening of September 28, I will be giving a talk in Seattle at the Mountaineers in NE Seattle on Climate Surprises: Unexpected Impacts of Global Warming on the Pacific Northwest. 

You think global warming will simply bring warmer temperatures, drought, less snow, and more storms? 

Think again. The latest climate model simulations provide a far more nuanced prediction of what will happen here, with some of the predictions being quite surprising. This talk is sponsored by CarbonWa and the Audubon Society. To find out more or to secure tickets, please go here.

2017 Selfie Photo Model Contest For Girl 9 Magazine Selfie Model Search 2017

2017 Selfie Photo Model Contest

2017 Selfie Model Search For Girl 9 Magazine

2017 Selfie Model Contest for Girl 9 Magazine Selfie Photo Model Search 2017 is now holding its official First Time Selfie Lingerie Model Search Contest Worldwide for the hottest aspiring lingerie selfie models that like to take sexy photos of themselves and want to share them with the world.

Girl 9 Magazine is one of the most successful internationally known magazines that the International Beauty Movement now publishes online, currently Girl 9 Magazine has over a million readers worldwide and Girl 9 Magazine receives over 125 aspiring lingerie models, bikini models, and artistic nude models worldwide each day that submit their sexy photos for the chance of being selected as a possible feature model in the internationally known magazine.

Girl 9 Magazine has decided to hold its first worldwide selfie model search contest for lingerie models, bikini models, and artistic nude models, since 20 percent of the aspiring models submit sexy selfie photos to Girl 9 Magazine for review, which is not our magazine’s customary format to publish selfie photos, but we decided to give all of the beautiful sexy women around the world the chance to have their sexy selfie photos published in Girl 9 Magazine for the world to see and help them jump start their modeling career, and we will be selecting 12 sexy aspiring selfie photo models with the hottest and most sexiest selfie photos to feature in upcoming issue of Girl 9 Magazine.

Would you like to be a Female Selfie Lingerie Model, artistic nude, or Bikini Model Featured In the internationally known Girl 9 Bikini Magazine for Men that is read by thousands of men and women daily worldwide and has over a million readers?

Girl 9 Magazine is seeking a select group of eye catching hot, sexy, and beautiful lingerie models, nude models, artistic nude models, and bikini models posing nude, semi nude, or in their hottest lingerie or bikini wear to feature and promote worldwide in an upcoming issue of Girl 9 Magazine.

This is one modeling opportunity you don’t want to miss if you if you enjoy taking sexy selfie photos and you are serious about promoting your sexy image worldwide and taking your modeling career to the next level.

If you are a beautiful female aspiring bikini model, nude model, artistic nude model, or lingerie model ages 18-35 that looks irresistible nude, semi nude, or in a sexy bikini, or sexy lingerie and you are searching for a legitimate major fashion industry modeling opportunity that will give you an excellent opportunity to build or expand your modeling career, build a reputable magazine print model portfolio, and establish a name for yourself by becoming a published print model in an international men’s magazine, then this is the modeling opportunity that you have been looking for to show off your beautiful face and curves as a sexy print model in a popular internationally known online men’s magazine.

Girl 9 Magazine is published by the International Beauty Movement and read by thousands of people each day, including top modeling agencies looking for new faces worldwide, TV and Movie Casting Directors, Fashion and Style Directors, entertainment insiders, and fashion event coordinators.

The time to take your modeling career to amazing new levels starts here!

What are you waiting for?

Submit yourself today for your big shot to be featured as a sexy selfie print magazine model in an upcoming issue of Girl 9 Magazine for Men.

Girl 9 Magazine is now accepting hot and sexy selfie photo from Asian models, Indonesian models, Ethnic models, African models, European models, Latina models, Indian models, Polynesian models, Russian models, African American models, White models, Italian models, Bi-racial models, erotic models, exotic models, vixen models, artistic nude models, fitness models, bikini models, inked models, nude models, and beautiful females with fit sexy bodies that want  to apply for this worldwide magazine print modeling opportunity of the year.

If you are a beautiful female aspiring model that’s ready to get your modeling career started or take your modeling career to the next level as a possible featured print magazine model in an upcoming issue of Girl 9 Magazine, then you want to respond to this casting call immediately by submitting a bio with your  name, city and state, email address, phone number, your age, your height, weight, and measurements and also submit 12-20 of your hottest and most recent full body selfie photos in your hottest bikini, nude, artistic nude, or lingerie only, that are no older than 12 months with no writing or borders.

Submit 12-20 recent full body head to toe clear selfie photos in lingerie, artistic nude, or bikini only, and a cover letter or bio with your name, city and state, email address, phone number, your age, your height, weight, and measurements to: girl9magazine@aol.com

The Hottest and Most Sexiest Selfie Models That Are Selected From The 2017 Girl 9 Magazine Selfie Model Search Will Receive a Free $500.00 Lingerie Magazine Photo and Video Shoot in either Philadelphia, Los Angeles, Or Washington, D.C.

All selfie photos submitted by lingerie and bikini models will be judged on their photo quality, hair and makeup, creative sexy posing quality.

THESE PHOTO SUBMISSION GUIDELINES APPLY

TO THE SELFIE LINGERIE MODEL SEARCH CONTEST.

We do not accept selfie photos that are older than 12 months, we do not accept less than 12 recent full body selfie photos, we do not accept selfie photos with more than one model in it, we do not accept selfie photos posted on other websites, we do not accept low resolution selfie photos, we do not accept selfie photos with writing on them, we do not accept selfie photos that are collages or have effects, or have borders added to them, so please do not submit none of the above or your selfie photos will not be considered.

Please Feel Free To Visit Our Websites

And Read Our Magazines At The Links Below:

International Beauty Movement Web Site:

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PLEASE CLICK LINKS BELOW TO VIEW Girl 9 MAGAZINES ONLINE:

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Please Click One Of the Links Below To Read Ethnic Queen Magazine: http://internationalbeaut.wix.com/internationalbeauty#!online-magazine

http://issuu.com/rippingrunways/docs/2016_ethnic_queen_magazine_debut_is?e=6108760/37587277

2016 PHILLY MODEL FACE OFF VIDEO HIGHLIGHTS CLICK LINK BELOW:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oBB1bMbJp6Q&feature=youtu.be

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http://rippingrunways.wix.com/rippingrunways#!full-magazine

Please visit our casting call link to view all of our current casting calls for aspiring female models worldwide at: http://rippingrunways.blogspot.com/

The Giant Seattle Ice Cube Meets a Suspicious Demise

Today, September 19th marks the demise of the giant Seattle ice cube.   Placed in Seattle's Occidental Park on Friday, September 9th by the well-known local architecture firm Olson Kundig (OK), the 80 inch, 10 ton cube of ice is gone. It took roughly ten days.

Unfortunately, it appears that some human intervention may have quickened its demise.  I will present the evidence and you be the judge.

So let's review the history of the OK ice cube through a series of pictures. And for reference, here are the temperatures of the last two weeks at Boeing Field.

September 9th:  the day it was installed. Gorgeous.

September 10th.  A little melt but still a nice cube.

September 11th:  Still looking good.

September 14th.  After a period of rapid warming and sunshine, the OK ice cube had a lot of melt, but is still standing tall.

Sept 16.  Not as wide, but still imposing.

Sept 17th:  A dramatic presence.

 Sept 18th.  A few ice blocks on the floor.  I went to see it myself that day.

 Sept 19th.   Its gone.

Folks...I am deeply suspicious that there was some serious ice hanky-panky between the 17th and the 18th.  Saturday night.

Someone got to the ice cube.  It should have lasted until Thursday or Friday. Perhaps the Seattle Times could put one of its investigative reporters on it...Danny Westneat covers this kind of thing all the time.  Who would have it in for a giant icecube?  Seattle police have some suspicions based on evidence found near the scene of the crime:

And now to see who won the contest.   In fact, two people picked this date:

Andy Stahl and Thomas and ae.  Congratulations to them, although their victories are somewhat reduced by the nighttime ice skullduggery.  And they can all get custom forecasts if they ask me.
--------------------------------

My talk on Northwest Climate Surprises on September 28. 

During the evening of September 28, I will be giving a talk in Seattle at the Mountaineers in NE Seattle on Climate Surprises: Unexpected Impacts of Global Warming on the Pacific Northwest. 

You think global warming will simply bring warmer temperatures, drought, less snow, and more storms? 

Think again. The latest climate model simulations provide a far more nuanced prediction of what will happen here, with some of the predictions being quite surprising. This talk is sponsored by CarbonWa and the Audubon Society. To find out more or to secure tickets, please go here.

And if you already secured tickets please not that the location has been shifted to the Mountaineers location in NE Seattle (in Magnuson Park).  Parking will be easier and free.  Right near Sand Point Way (lots of buses) and the Burke Gilman trail.

Free Model Casting Calls Los Angeles 2016 Model Face Off Event Casting Calls

2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off Event Casting Calls

2016 Free Model Casting Calls For All Aspiring Models in Los Angeles, Hollywood, San Diego, Las Vegas, Long Beach, Santa Monica, Pasadena, and all Cities in California and Nevada

The 2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off is a free magazine model photo and video shoot for Ripping Runways Magazine, Project Couture Magazine, Ethnic Queen Magazine, Salon Savvy Magazine, and Girl 9 Bikini Magazine and it will be taking place in Los Angeles, California in the Fall of 2016 and all female models that are selected for this excellent modeling opportunity will be featured in one of our magazines.

We are now casting the hottest and most talented Asian models, Indonesian models, Ethnic models, African models, European models, Latina models, Indian models, Polynesian models, Russian models, African American models, White models, Italian models, Bi-racial models, erotic models, exotic models, vixen models, artistic nude models, fitness models, bikini models, inked models, nude models, and beautiful females with fit sexy bodies on the West Coast and giving all selected female models a free magazine photo shoot and the opportunity to face off against other hot models from Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Long Beach, San Diego, Santa Monica, Hollywood, Pasadena, and All Cities in California, all female models selected to participate in the 2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off in the Fall will also be featured in one of our very popular internationally known magazines.

  

If you are a beautiful female model that lives in Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Long Beach, San Diego, Santa Monica, Hollywood, Pasadena, or any City in California ages 18-35 and you feel you have what it takes to be a featured print model in one of our internationally known online magazines, and you are able to come to Los Angeles, California in November, please submit 6 high resolution full body photos that are no older than 12 months and a bio with your phone number and what city and state you are from to: modelfaceoff@mail.com

2016 Los Angeles Face Off Casting Call For hair stylists, body painters, and makeup artists in Los Angeles, Hollywood, San Diego, Las Vegas, Long Beach, Santa Monica, and Pasadena, and All California Cities:

Are you a professional makeup artist, professional hair stylist, or body painter that would like the opportunity to compete in the 2016 Los Angeles Face Off for hair stylists and makeup artists in the Los Angeles, Hollywood, San Diego, Las Vegas, Long Beach, Santa Monica, and the California area?

If you are a hair stylists, body painters, or makeup artists in Los Angeles, Hollywood, San Diego, Las Vegas, Long Beach, Santa Monica, or Pasadena

This is your big opportunity to build an excellent magazine print photo portfolio, receive a free magazine photo shoot, and be featured in the internationally known Salon Savvy Magazine for makeup artists and hair stylists worldwide that’s read by thousands of people each day, including casting agents for both fashion and entertainment companies worldwide?

To apply for consideration for the 2016 Los Angeles Face Off as a hair stylist, body painter, or makeup artist, you will need to submit a professionally written bio with your contact information and 6-12 recent high resolution photos of your work (that are no older than 12 months) with no writing on them, no logos, or photo signatures to qualify for this amazing magazine competition.

Submit photos and bio with contact information to: internationalbeautymovement@aol.com

**A photo or video portfolio is required as part of this application process for all makeup artists, hair stylists, and body painters applying to this casting call. A URL link listed on your resume for an online portfolio is preferred, Please email us your bio with full contact information and portfolio or link of your work to: internationalbeautymovement@aol.com **

2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off Photographer and Videographer Internships For Talented Photographers and Videographers in Los Angeles, Las Vegas, San Diego, Long Beach, and All Cities in California:

Fashion Photography and Videography Internships 2016 available in

Los Angeles For The 2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off Live Event

Fall Magazine Female Model Photo Shoot and Video Shoot

For Project Couture Magazine, Ethnic Queen Magazine,

Ripping Runways Magazine, Girl 9 Magazine, and Salon Savvy Magazine.

The International Beauty Movement internationally known online as one of the hottest and most popular modeling and fashion magazine publishers, known for its international female model searches, female magazine model photo and video shoots, TV modeling competitions, TV talent searches, and fashion events for female models and female talent is now offering Photography and Videography Internship opportunities to experienced photographers and videographers that are creative, innovative at creating bold new photos and videos, interested in building or expanding their photo or video portfolio and having their work promoted internationally in both our online magazines and on our websites, while working with some of the hottest up and coming professional and aspiring female models and talent for the 2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off Magazine Photo Shoot For Project Couture Magazine, Ethnic Queen Magazine, Ripping Runways Magazine, Girl 9 Magazine, and Salon Savvy Magazine, taking place in Los Angeles, CA in the Fall of 2016.

This is an exciting opportunity for photographers and videographers to enhance both their creative talents, gain international recognition for having your creative work published in one of our well known magazines, expand your portfolio, as well as having your creative work seen by people in the fashion and entertainment industry that could really enhance your career opportunities.

To Apply Please See instructions below:

**A photo or video portfolio is required as part of this application process. A URL link listed on your resume for an online portfolio is preferred, also let us know what type of photo/video equipment you own.

Please email us your bio with full contact information and portfolio or link of your work to: internationalbeautymovement@aol.com   **

Please email us your bio, the type of equipment you own, with full contact information and portfolio or link of your work to: internationalbeautymovement@aol.com

2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off Magazine Photo and Video Shoot Event Volunteers and Interns That Live in Los Angeles, Las Vegas, San Diego, Long Beach, Pasadena, Hollywood, and Surrounding Areas

Would you like to volunteer for the 2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off that would give the opportunity to build experience in the Fashion and Entertainment Industry, participate in internationally known magazines photo shoot and video shoot, and have an opportunity to meet beautiful fashion models, national pageant winners, and lingerie models?

We are now accepting Event Volunteers and Interns applications from people that that would like to participate in the 2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off Magazine Video and Photo shoot competition in the Fall of 2016.

Must be reliable, energetic, enthusiastic, self motivated, creative and work well with people and be a team player.

Please email us 3 photos, with full contact information and why you want to be an event volunteer for the 2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off send to: internationalbeautymovement@aol.com

This is one of the biggest fashion photo and video shoot opportunities of the year on the West Coast for all of you that would like to participate in the 2016 Los Angeles Model Face Off, taking place the Fall of 2016 in Los Angeles, and this is one fashion event  opportunity you don’t want to miss if you enjoy fashion, clothing design, public relations, photography, being around beautiful models, and live entertainment.

NOTE:  YOU MUST PROVIDE YOUR OWN TRANSPORTATION TO LOS ANGELES IF YOU ARE SELECTED FOR THIS FREE 1 DAY 2016 LOS ANGELES MODEL FACE OFF MAGAZINE PHOTO AND VIDEO SHOOT.

Please Feel Free To Visit Our Websites

and Read Our Magazines At The Links Below:

International Beauty Movement Web Site:

http://internationalbeaut.wix.com/internationalbeauty

Click Link Below To Become A Member of the International Beauty Movement:

https://plus.google.com/communities/116221426422258310365

PLEASE CLICK LINKS BELOW TO VIEW Girl 9 MAGAZINES ONLINE:

http://girl9magazine.wix.com/girl9magazine#!current-issue

http://girl9magazine.wix.com/girl9magazine#!last-issue

Please Click One Of the Links Below To Read Ethnic Queen Magazine: http://internationalbeaut.wix.com/internationalbeauty#!online-magazine

http://issuu.com/rippingrunways/docs/2016_ethnic_queen_magazine_debut_is?e=6108760/37587277

2016 PHILLY MODEL FACE OFF VIDEO HIGHLIGHTS CLICK LINK BELOW:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oBB1bMbJp6Q&feature=youtu.be

2016 Ripping Runways Magazine Philly Model Face Edition Click Link Below:

http://rippingrunways.wix.com/rippingrunways#!full-magazine

Please visit our casting call link to view all of our current casting calls for aspiring female models worldwide at: http://rippingrunways.blogspot.com/